作别2011，云计算技术日趋成熟的不可思议的一年。下面是我对2012年的几点预测。

1.PAAS热身赛：Azure vs. Cloud Foundry vs. CloudShift

在2012年，平台即服务（PaaS）将作为一种创新的“云”应用引入市场，并引起更多注意。微软将主导Windows / .NET开发社区，Cloud Foundry和CloudShift都将从测试版和为PaaS霸权的争夺战中崭露头角。

2.私有云回击：OpenStack，CloudForms，vCloud

2011年，我们已经看到了关于私有云价值的激烈辩论。2012年，随着企业开始构建私有云，其价值也就显而易见了。这些新的私有云起初可能很小，但随着混合云部署的道路铺好以后他们会迅速增长。

3.IT商业化导致重大安全漏洞

你已经听到很多关于BYOD（自备设备）和员工以内部IT之外的生产力的名义使用免费的云提供商的服务。在2012年，我们将看到一个大企业因为这些所谓的提高生产力的云应用而遭受漏洞。一组用户的一个无辜的行为可能就会阻止这个动作。

4.云综合

在2012年，我们将见证通过企业云计算技术的快速综合。专有软件厂商将寻求规模较小的开源厂商希望在缩小产品差距的同时摆脱他们的传统形象。像MySQL这类的未受保护的开源项目将尤其诱惑人收购，因为他们可以在一个单独公司的控制和相应的货币化下获得。

5.网络监管的兴起

在2012年，我们将继续看到在云的网络层的戏剧性的变化。OpenFlow，Nicira，BigSwitch，思科（LineSider）和其他人将看到在查询和技术部署上的兴起。最后，至少有一个主要的监管程序厂商（Citirx中，VMware，微软，或红帽）将有机或通过收购进入这个舞台。

As we say goodbye to 2011, it’s been an incredible year of technology as the cloud continues to mature. Here’s a few of my predictions for 2012.

1. PAAS Heats Up: Azure vs. Cloud Foundry vs. CloudShift


In 2012, platform-as-a-service will garner much attention as new and innovative “cloud” applications are introduced into the market. While Microsoft will dominate the Windows/.NET development community, both Cloud Foundry and CloudShift will emerge from betas and battle it out for PAAS supremacy.


2. Private Cloud Comeback: OpenStack, CloudForms, vCloud

3. Commercialization of IT leads to major security breach

You’ve been hearing a lot about BYOD (bring your own device) and employees using free cloud providers for services in the name of productivity outside of the purview of internal IT. In 2012, we will see a large Enterprise experience a breach because of these so-called productivity enhancing cloud applications. An innocent act by a group of users will set this movement back.


In 2011, we have seen a raging debate regarding the value of a private cloud. In 2012, the value will be clearly articulated as Enterprises begin to build-out private cloud environments.. These new private clouds will start small but they will quickly grow while paving the way hybrid cloud deployments.

4. Cloud Consolidation

In 2012 we will see the rapid consolidation of cloud technologies across the industry. Proprietary software vendors will seek smaller open source vendors in hopes of shedding their legacy images while closing product gaps. Unprotected Open Source projects ala MySQL will be especially tempting to acquire as they can be brought under the control of a single company and monetized accordingly.

5. Rise of the Network Hypervisor


In 2012 we will continue to see dramatic changes within the network layer of the cloud. OpenFlow, Nicira, BigSwitch, Cisco (LineSider) and others will see an uptick in inquiries and deployment of the technology. Finally, at least one of the major hypervisor vendors (Citirx, VMware, Microsoft, or Red Hat) will jump into this arena either organically or via an acquisition.